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Coral Gables and Coconut Grove Luxury Condo Market Report Q1 2020

by , May 04, 2020

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CondoBlackBook.com's analysis of the overall Miami luxury condo market for Q1 2020 revealed a good start to the year, despite the coronavirus outbreak. Though the first quarter's sales were soft, the market has yet to reflect any major impact from the onset of the pandemic. A reduction in the year-over-year Days on Market and Months of Inventory further revealed that the overall Miami market kick-started the year on a positive note. Also, with prices trending lower year-over-year and inventory levels still high, the overall market in Miami seems to still be in favor of buyers.

In this neighborhood-level report for Coral Gable and Coconut Grove, these desirable Miami neighborhoods led sales growth in 1Q20 for all of Miami, almost doubling year over year. However, sales prices decreased. Read on to see how the luxury condo market fared in Coral Gables and Coconut Grove, and how this data correlates to the overall market trends found in Miami.

For the purpose of this Miami submarket luxury condo report, we've only featured properties priced $1 million and above.

Coral Gables and Coconut Grove Luxury Condo Market Q1 Highlights:

  • Q1 sales strong, almost double year-over-year
  • Best-performing neighborhood in Miami in terms of year-over-year sales growth (76% growth) percentage
  • 12-month sales trendline keeps positive from Q2 2019 to Q1 2020
  • Q1 price per sq. ft. declines 10.3% year-over-year to $508 - lowest in Miami for luxury condos
  • Days on market increase 24.4% year-over-year
  • Inventory down 42.1% year-over-year

Table of Contents

  1. Coral Gables & Coconut Grove Luxury Condo Sales Trends
  2. Coral Gables & Coconut Grove Luxury Condo Price Trends
  3. Coral Gables & Coconut Grove Luxury Condo Days on Market Trends
  4. Coral Gables & Coconut Grove Luxury Condo Inventory Trends
  5. Conclusion


Coral Gables & Coconut Grove Lead Q1 Luxury Condo Sales in Miami


Coral Gables and Coconut Grove Luxury Condo Market Summary 1Q20 - Fig. 1

Coral Gables and Coconut Grove Luxury Condo Market Summary 1Q20 - Fig. 1


Q1 opens strong, sales almost double year-over-year with positive trendline. Moving against the overall market trend in Miami, this combined neighborhood starts the year strong with a 76% increase over Q1 last year (fig. 1). This is the highest the sales have been in a first-quarter since 2015, and the second-highest of all quarters in the period under review (fig. 2.1).

A closer look at fig. 2.2 below reveals that sales from January and March contributed to this boost. While February reported the same number of (7) sales year-over-year, January's sales more than doubled (13) from 6 in 2019 and March saw a spike of 10 compared to its 4 sales last year. These higher than normal sales in 1Q20 keep the 12-month trendline positive between Q4 2019 and Q1 2020 (fig. 2.3).

What's worth noting is that the combined district sees a recovery after the perpetually lower year-over-year sales of 2019 compared to 2018, despite the COVID-19 outbreak.

Coral Gables & Coconut Grove Quarterly Sales Heatmap 2015 - 2020 - Fig. 2.1

Coral Gables & Coconut Grove Quarterly Sales Heatmap 2015 - 2020 - Fig. 2.1


Coral Gables & Coconut Grove Monthly Sales from Jan. 2016 to Mar. 2020 - Fig. 2.2

Coral Gables & Coconut Grove Monthly Sales from Jan. 2016 to Mar. 2020 - Fig. 2.2


Coral Gables & Coconut Grove 12-Month Sales with Trendline - Fig. 2.3

Coral Gables & Coconut Grove 12-Month Sales with Trendline - Fig. 2.3


Q1 YoY Luxury Condo Prices Down

Q1 price per sq. ft. declines 10.3% year-over-year. Moving with the overall market trend in Miami, the sales price and price per sq. ft. declined for Q1 in this combined neighborhood (fig. 1). The price per sq. ft. fell 10.8% from $566 in 1Q19 to $508 in Q1 this year. Further, the median sales price slipped 15.2% year-over-year from $1,400,000 to $1,187,500.

A closer look at the five-year snapshot of quarterly prices in fig. 3 reveals that the quarter's price per sq. ft. trended toward the lower-end of the period under review. It is also worth noting that luxury condos in Gables and Grove have the lowest price per sq. ft. in all of Miami. The key takeaway on this is Coral Gables and Coconut Grove seem to be moving closer to a market correction in terms of pricing, and buyers are taking note. 

Coral Gables & Coconut Grove Quarterly Price per Sq. Ft. 2016-2020 - Fig. 3

Coral Gables & Coconut Grove Quarterly Price per Sq. Ft. 2016-2020 - Fig. 3


Days on Market Up YoY
 

24.4% increase in year-over-year days on market. Luxury condos in the Coral Gables and Coconut Grove grouping spent 22 more days on market compared to Q1 2019, as well as 2 more days on median over last quarter (fig. 4). Moving against the overall Miami market trend of a decline in days on market, this increase shows that even though the combined neighborhood saw improved sales, buyers and sellers took longer to reach a consensus on deals.

Coral Gables & Coconut Grove Quarterly Days on Market 2018-2020 Heatmap – Fig. 4

Coral Gables & Coconut Grove Quarterly Days on Market 2018-2020 Heatmap – Fig. 4


Inventory Down to Lowest in Miami

Inventory down to 22 months. With the first quarter delivering a big boost in sales, inventory definitely decreased in this combined neighborhood. Not only is inventory down from December's closing of 27 months, but also March 2019's tally of 38 months (fig. 5). 

Consistent with the overall market trend in Miami, inventory sees a drop of 42% on a year-over-year basis - cut almost by half. This combined neighborhood also emerges as the district with the lowest months of inventory for the quarter of all the neighborhoods included in our overall study. However, considering 22 months is still way off the ideal 9-12-month benchmark of a balanced market, buyers should still have fair amounts of choices and lower prices working in their favor when searching. To look at what inventory is available, search for Coral Gables or Coconut Grove condos for sale here.

Coral Gables & Coconut Grove Months of Inventory from Mar. 2019 to Mar. 2020 - Fig. 5

Coral Gables & Coconut Grove Months of Inventory from Mar. 2019 to Mar. 2020 - Fig. 5


A balanced market has only 9-12 months of inventory. The months of inventory are calculated as – no. of active listings + no. of pending listings divided by the average number of deals in the last 6 months.

Conclusion

Collectively, the market trends reported by Coral Gables and Coconut Grove deviate from the major trends seen in the Q1 2020 Overall Luxury Condo Market Report. Quarterly sales increase for the neighborhood, whereas the overall market reports a decline. The days on market trend higher for the submarket, while they post a reduction for Miami overall. Also, the 12-month trendline stays positive for Gables and Grove against a negative 12-month trendline seen in the overall report.

The only two metrics to move in line with the overall Miami luxury condo market report trends were prices and inventory, as they posted declines in this submarket as well. Overall, Gables and Grove report a healthier luxury condo market this first quarter.

Historically, Coconut Grove has been the fastest moving neighborhood in our quarterly studies from previous years, and as such, should be the first to reach the ideal 9-12-month benchmark of a balanced market. However, just as we've mentioned in our overall analysis, the presidential elections and COVID-19 outbreak will most likely prove to be hiccups along the road to a balanced market, extending the ongoing buyer-friendly climate. The flipside of this is that Coconut Grove and Coral Gables offer a lot of green space, parks, and less urban density, which may be highly desirable to buyers after the experience of COVID-19 quarantine rules. Nonetheless, this will be the market to watch for signs of recovery whenever the dust starts to settle. 

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Questions or comments about the stats? Want more info on Miami condos? Contact Sep at sniakan (at) hbroswell.com or call 305-725-0566.


Cover photo courtesy of MiamiAndBeaches.com

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Brickell vs. Edgewater: Which Miami Neighborhood Is Right for You?

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Brickell vs. Edgewater: Which Miami Neighborhood Is Right for You?

When most people are thinking about moving to Miami, the two most popular neighborhoods mentioned are Edgewater and Brickell. So, how can you know if Brickell or Edgewater, Miami is right for you? Both neighborhoods have grown considerably in recent years, and both are home to high-rise residential towers as well as mid-rise residential towers. While both areas provide plenty of variety in housing options, they also offer differing lifestyles and benefits. _This article was last updated on January 12, 2023\._ ## Lifestyle: Brickell vs Edgewater Edgewater, Miami is primarily a quiet, residential neighborhood nestled on the shores of Biscayne Bay and the 8-acre Margaret Pace Park. It's a neighborhood that is in a super central location in all of Miami, and Edgewater condos are ideal for families and young professionals still looking for luxury residences on Biscayne Bay, many of whom are purchasing their first property or moving away from the real estate east at the beach. Edgewater, Miami, is one of Miami's most well-kept secrets for those who favor a serene, residential lifestyle that still provides access to all of the eclectic offerings that make Miami exciting, such as Miami Beach and Biscayne Bay. ###### Margaret Pace Park in Edgewater. Photo by Ryan Healy A quiet residential neighborhood that is off-the-beaten path and generally overlooked by tourists, Edgewater provides a nature-oriented yet urban lifestyle that's very walkable, and also has easy access to the Downtown Arts District, the Julia Tuttle Causeway to the east, the Wynwood Arts District, the Design District, Brickell, and South Beach. Edgewater, Miami, has many existing bayfront condos and luxury residences, yet is also still growing, with more luxury condos, restaurants, grocery stores and such on the way. Brickell, in comparison, is Miami's Financial District and home to many international corporate headquarters. It has a high population density and is roughly bound to a busy area that has been playfully nicknamed the “Manhattan of the South,” and more recently, “The Wall Street of the South.” As Brickell has experienced rapid urbanization over the past few decades, Brickell is now more dense than Brooklyn, and could be compared to lower Manhattan. ###### City Centre in Brickell. Photo by Jill Bazeley Ideal for ride-or-die urban types, executives, workaholics, and those who wish to live and work in the same distinct neighborhood, Brickell is also home to families and international business executives who come to Miami for extended periods. Brickell is known for its bevy of world-class restaurants, a vibrant but mature nightlife, as well as its plethora of versatile shopping options. ## Business: Brickell vs Edgewater Edgewater, Miami is essentially a laid-back, homey residential district where neighbors will recognize one another while walking their dogs, pushing strollers or bicycling. There are only a handful of shared work spaces, offices, and commercial buildings. If you prefer to leave the work at the office, and decompress when you get home, Edgewater neighborhood offers that. ###### Photo by Marcus Lenk on Unsplash Brickell, on the other hand, is a buzzing international banking hub that represents the largest of its kind in the US, and the second-largest financial center south of New York. Brickell is Miami's central business district. Flanked by the Miami River and Biscayne Bay, Brickell offers a unique Miami-style, urban experience that includes plenty of open-air restaurant options, high-rises with spectacular water views, and an active but casual corporate environment. If you like to get deals done over dinner and then walk home, then Brickell is good for you. ## Walkability and Transportation: Brickell vs Edgewater While Edgewater is tucked away, its super central location makes it close enough to walk or bicycle to many of Miami's most desirable locations, such as the Perez Art Museum (PAMM) and the Frost Science Museum, the Adrienne Arsht Center for the Performing Arts, Museum Park, the Wynwood Arts District, the Design District, and Downtown, as well as the Miami-Dade College Wolfson Campus. Edgewater has its own Metromover stop, and its close proximity to Downtown and midtown Miami means that you can take advantage of the Metrorail and Brightline trains that can take you just about anywhere in South Florida, eventually to Orlando, from the convenient MiamiCentral station as a part of the Florida East Coast Railway, as well as the up-and-coming commuter rail service that will take you to locations both within and beyond the greater metropolitan Miami area. To the north, Edgewater has the Julia Tuttle Causeway providing quick access to the beach. ###### Metromover - Miami. Photo courtesy of Phillip Pessar In Brickell, the free Metromover can take you to Wynwood, Coconut Grove, and Downtown Miami, where you can connect to the Brightline trains leading to the tri-county area, north to Fort Lauderdale, and soon, north to Orlando. There is also a free Brickell trolley and a very inexpensive airport shuttle that costs $2.25 and runs about every 20 minutes. ### **Looking to live car-free?** Don’t miss our article on other Miami neighborhoods where you can live without a car. ## Parks and Greenspace: Brickell vs Edgewater Access to greenspace is Edgewater's claim to fame and part of what makes it so desirable. In this category, we think it is a winner over Brickell. The entire distinct neighborhood is anchored by the expansive and multifaceted Margaret Pace Park, with its winding pathways, mangrove forests, a dog park, sports activities, including basketball courts, volleyball and tennis courts, and waterfront access for water sports such as kayaking or waterboarding. The park also provides an array of outdoor options for nature-themed recreation ideal for young families with children, fitness enthusiasts, work-from-home types, as well as parks where dogs and their human companions can get plenty of exercise. ###### Brickell Key Park The dense commercial neighborhood of Brickell also has some parks, as the area was planned to provide sun and fun options at locations such as Brickell Park, the waterfront walk around Brickell Key Park, Alice C. Wainwright Park, and Miami Circle Park. You can enjoy shady walking trails and areas for dogs to run and play, as well as some breezy water views that make you forget momentarily that you're in the middle of one of the country's busiest urban hubs. ## Arts and Culture: Brickell vs Edgewater ###### Phillip and Patricia Frost Museum of Science Edgewater's proximity to the Downtown Arts District makes it incomparable as far as access to the arts, in comparison to busy Brickell. From most all Edgewater properties, you can easily walk or bicycle to some of the city's most renowned cultural venues, such as the Adrienne Arsht Center, Ziff Opera House, Perez and Frost Museums, American Airlines Arena, and many smaller art galleries, venues, performing arts centers, and artists' studios. Edgewater is also within a short bike or Uber ride to the infamous street art that has made Wynwood famous, along with its galleries and the yearly art fairs that draw millions of international tourists during Miami Art Week. It's also a stone's throw from the Design District, and the area's most prestigious art exhibition spaces and collections, such as the Moore Building, The de la Cruz Collection, and the Institute of Contemporary Art (ICA). While Brickell is better known for its restaurants, chic roof-top bars, and entertainment venues than for cultural venues, its easy transportation options provide quick and access to the Downtown Arts District and many of the same attractions that are close to Edgewater. ## Eating and Shopping: Brickell vs Edgewater ###### La Mar - Gaston Acurio at the Mandarin Oriental Hotel As far as eating and shopping options, it's impossible for residential Edgewater's bayfront community to compete with Brickell's plethora of casual eateries and fine-dining options, as well as the wide variety of shopping opportunities walking distance in Brickell, including those at Mary Brickell Village, Brickell City Centre, and all along Brickell Avenue. Some of these include The Capital Grille, an upscale steak house perfect for impressing corporate clients, and La Mar by Gaston Acurio at the Mandarin Oriental Hotel, where Peruvian fusion cuisine is served in a chic waterfront setting. Among one of the area's newest eateries is EST.33 Thai Craft Brewery and Kitchen, bringing a blend of Asian flavors blended with traditional American barbecue, with the bonus of craft beer. An excellent affordable waterfront lunch can be had at Crazy About You, where you can enjoy Mediterranean flavors in an understated bistro setting on the bay. There are also two food halls at Brickell City Centre, where you'll find a wide assortment of eateries as well as specialty shops serving up all types of food from cultures all over the world, particularly authentic Italian. ###### Edgewater’s Amara at Paraiso By comparison, Edgewater's bayfront community provides walkable access to some of Miami's most popular restaurants. For fine dining, Edgewater's Amara at Gran Paraiso is a waterfront favorite. And Paolo Fontanot's Italian bakery and cafe is also a can't miss, being the only U.S. location outside of Italy. Tons more spots are in our Local's Guide to Restaurants in Edgewater. Edgewater is also very close to Downtown Miami and Wynwood restaurants, including Kush, known for its infamous burgers and budget lunch menu. For more adventurous fare, Dunkunoo serves up Jamaican dishes along with exotic Caribbean drinks, and an assortment of experimental small plates are available on the eclectic tasting menu at Alter. Edgewater also provides easy access to Wynwood's unique boutiques as well as the specialty shops in the nearby Design District, and Downtown Miami's versatile shopping options. ## Architecture and Housing Options: Brickell vs Edgewater ###### Edgewater neighborhood Edgewater was in the past few decades a neglected enclave nestled between Biscayne Boulevard and Biscayne Bay, populated by working-class families living in smallish mid-20th-century bungalows and a few low-rise existing bayfront condos. All of that has changed in recent years as luxury condos and modern brand new developments such as Paramount Bay, Elysee, Missoni Baia, and other luxury condo high rises have replaced many of the older properties with chic new waterfront condos adorned with balconies boasting exquisite bay views, direct access to the bay, and modern family-friendly resort style amenities. For those drawn to the nostalgia of the neighborhood, a few of the area's old bungalows have been remodeled and upgraded and still dot the local landscape offering waterfront living. ###### Brickell Key neighborhood Brickell is a larger area that is divided into three sections: Old Brickell, The Financial District, and Brickell Key. The area south of SW 15th Road is known as Old Brickell, and along its grand, tree-lined street, consists of mainly of older low and mid rise condo buildings on the water, as well as small firms, international banks, and other professional service offices, along with a few ritzy mansions dating back to the Mary Brickell era. The area north of SW 15th Road, and particularly around Brickell Avenue, is known as the Financial District and here you'll see business and residential high rise skyscrapers, both business and residential. While many of the area's older high rise condos provide waterfront access to Biscayne Bay, most brand new constructions are being built inland due to limited availability of real estate in this increasingly dense area. Brickell Key is a more isolated, private enclave with high-end, waterfront residential condos. ### View available condo and rental options in Edgewater or Brickell. ## Cost of Living: Brickell vs Edgewater Edgewater is a family-friendly area, with real estate condo prices averaging around $386 per sq. ft. and average residential units listing at around $502,715\. The median household income for most residents in Edgewater near Miami Beach is $77,000. Brickell has a wider array of real estate options and attracts a variety of international investors, with options ranging from mid-rise residential towers to older high rise exclusive penthouses to affordable condos. The average price in Brickell is roughly bound to about $399 per square foot or $530,966 for an average residential unit; however, listings may run as high as $29,110,500 or about $2,039 per square foot. ## Which Neighborhood is Better? Brickell or Edgewater? If you're in the market for a quiet, family-friendly environment with less noise and traffic, access to nature, Biscayne Bay waterfront living, mid rise to high rise residential towers, and very little tourism, you'll love Edgewater, which offers respite after a quick commute. If you prefer to immerse yourself in the Manhattan of the South, with access to all things big city, you'll feel right at home in Brickell. Check out these below: * Edgewater vs South Beach * South Beach vs Miami Beach * Edgewater vs Downtown Miami * The Miami Beaches: South vs Mid-Beach vs North Beach * Brickell vs South Beach * Brickell vs Brickell Key If you'd like to talk more with us about which Miami Dade County, Florida, neighborhood is right for you, give us a call or e mail, and we'll be happy to go through the many real estate available listings in both Edgewater, Brickell, and all that Miami so you can make a well-educated decision as to which Florida spot is ideal for you. --- ###### Cover Photo by Anish Patel

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Watch: Property Spotlight: Tour this $3.4M, 5-bedroom Cul-de-Sac Home in Coconut Grove

Trust our Director of Luxury Sales, Stephanie Bienstock, to find the rarest gems before anyone else does. This time, it’s a two-story, 5-bedroom/4-bath, Mediterranean-style residence with a private pool that ranks highly on family living, character, sustainability, and timeless Grove charm.

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