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Coral Gables and Coconut Grove Luxury Condo Market Report Q2 2020

by , July 28, 2020

View the most up-to-date market reports.

 

As our CondoBlackBook.com 2Q20 report for this combined neighborhood showed exceptional sales growth, the outlook for 2Q20 was more than positive. However, with the COVID-19 situation unfolding globally, the full impact on numbers can be seen this quarter. Much like the overall Miami luxury condo market for 2Q20, sales are naturally down year-over-year. Still, the tail-end of the quarter has revealed signs of a recovery, which is likely to continue into the third quarter, at least.

Median Sales Prices also show an upward trend, in sync with the overall market trend in Miami, showing that sellers received good value for their properties even as the pandemic weighed down on sales. Read on below for a more detailed analysis of the impact on monthly sales, the Price per Sq. Ft., Days on Market and Months of Inventory in this second-quarter plus how trends correlate to the overall luxury condo market in Miami.

For the purpose of this Miami submarket luxury condo report, we've only featured properties priced $1 million and above.


Coral Gables and Coconut Grove Luxury Condo Market Q2 Highlights:

  • Q2 Sales dip 40.7% year-over-year due to pandemic-related global slowdown
  • 12-month trendline shifts from positive in 1Q20 to negative this quarter
  • Prices report an upward trend, showing good value for sellers
  • Price per Sq. ft. jumps 26.9% quarter-to-quarter to $636/sq. ft.
  • Days on Market increase 12.4% year-over-year
  • Inventory down year-over-year to lowest in Miami, despite COVID-19 pull on sales


Table of Contents

  1. Coral Gables & Coconut Grove Luxury Condo Sales Trends
  2. Coral Gables & Coconut Grove Luxury Condo Price Trends
  3. Coral Gables & Coconut Grove Luxury Condo Days on Market Trends
  4. Coral Gables & Coconut Grove Luxury Condo Inventory Trends
  5. Conclusion

Luxury Condo Sales Down in Q2


Coral Gables and Coconut Grove Luxury Condo Market Summary 2Q20 - Fig. 1

Number of Sales

Median Sale Price

Quarters

Median Sp/Sqft

% Change in Sales

% Change in Median Sale Price

% Change in Median Sp/Sqft

Median of DOM

16

$1660000.00

2020 Q2

$636.00

-40.7%

23.0%

-0.5%

100

27

$1350000.00

2019 Q2

$639.00

 

 

 

89

Disclaimer: Data sourced from MLS 9 April 2020. Precaution has been taken to ensure that the content and analysis is accurate and current, however figures may be subject to revision.


Sales decline (as expected) 40.7% year-over-year with negative trendline.
Even with a notable first-quarter performance (76% year-over-year increase), we see sales declining in Q2 for this combined neighborhood, absorbing the full impact of the COVID-19 situation. Traditionally the strongest of the year, this second quarter conversely comes up short on sales as a natural response to the lockdown during the months of March and April.

As expected, the combined neighborhood of Coral Gables and Coconut Grove registers a dip of 40.7% against the same quarter last year (fig. 1). This is in sync with the overall sales trend observed in the overall luxury condo market report for 2Q20.

A closer look into the Monthly Sales chart (fig. 2.2) reveals that even as sales dipped through most of the quarter, they did pick up by the tail-end. So, as April reported half the sales (4) compared to 2019 (8) and May came up with one-third (3) the sales for the same month 2019 (9), June showed stability by reporting 9 sales against its previous year total of 10. This shows that, as the city reopened to its "new normal," pent up buyer demand started coming through. In fact, we can positively report that Miami's luxury condo market is still very active going into the third quarter.

Capturing the general slowdown in momentum this second quarter, the 12-month trendline in fig. 2.3 turns negative from a positive in the previous quarter.


Disclaimer: Data sourced from MLS 9 April 2020. Precaution has been taken to ensure that the content and analysis is accurate and current, however figures may be subject to revision.

Disclaimer: Data sourced from MLS 9 April 2020. Precaution has been taken to ensure that the content and analysis is accurate and current, however figures may be subject to revision.


Disclaimer: Data sourced from MLS 9 April 2020. Precaution has been taken to ensure that the content and analysis is accurate and current, however figures may be subject to revision.

Q2 Luxury Condo Prices Up YoY

Price/sq. ft. flat as Median Sales Price increases 23% year-over-year. Moving with the overall market trend in Miami, prices trend higher in this combined neighborhood. The Median Sales Price increased from $1,350,000 in the same quarter a year ago to $1,660,000 this year, posting an increase of 23% (fig. 1).

Also, while the Price per Sq. Ft. remained flat year-over-year ($639 in 2Q19 to $636 in 2Q20), a closer look at fig. 3 reveals a marked improvement of 26.9% quarter-over-quarter ($501 in 1Q20 to $636 in 2QQ20). This upward trend in prices for the neighborhood shows that even though sales were much slower than average, sellers still got fair value for their luxury condos.

It is also worth noting that the Price per Sq. Ft. has now moved closer to the higher-end of the price range traced over the past five years (as seen in the quarterly snapshot below), so much so that it is no longer the 'lowest priced' neighborhood for luxury condos in our study.


Disclaimer: Data sourced from MLS 9 April 2020. Precaution has been taken to ensure that the content and analysis is accurate and current, however figures may be subject to revision.


Days on Market Up YoY, But Lower QoQ

12.4% increase in year-over-year Days on Market. Moving against the overall market trend of a decline in Days on Market, this combined neighborhood posts an increase in year-over-year medians. Luxury condos spent 11 more days on market compared to the same quarter last year (fig. 4). Conversely, they spent 12 fewer days on market compared to the first quarter this year.

With a steady decline in numbers noticed over the past three quarters, the outlook is still positive as buyers and sellers continue seeing eye-to-eye on the value of transactions in the Coral Gables and Coconut Grove luxury condo market.


Disclaimer: Data sourced from MLS 9 April 2020. Precaution has been taken to ensure that the content and analysis is accurate and current, however figures may be subject to revision.


Inventory Still the Lowest in Miami

Q2 closes with 25 months of Inventory. Even as the shelter-in-place orders curbed sales momentum this quarter, the collective grouping of Coral Gables and Coconut Grove reported the lowest levels of inventory compared to all other neighborhoods included in our study. Moving against an upward overall market trend, at 25 months, inventory is 13.8% lower than June-end last year (29 months).

However, compared to March's closing of 22 months (all-time low for the combined neighborhood), inventory posts a 13.6% quarter-to-quarter increase. Of all Miami neighborhoods included in our reporting, Coral Gables and Coconut Grove are still poised to be one of the first to reach the ideal 9-12-month benchmark of a balanced market out of all Miami neighborhoods. So buyers should consider this and make the most of this window of opportunity before median prices trend higher. For a look at the sort inventory available, search for Coral Gables or Coconut Grove condos for sale here.


Disclaimer: Data sourced from MLS 9 April 2020. Precaution has been taken to ensure that the content and analysis is accurate and current, however figures may be subject to revision.


A balanced market has only 9-12 months of inventory. The months of inventory are calculated as – no. of active listings + no. of pending listings divided by the average number of deals in the last 6 months.


Conclusion

When compared to Miami's overall luxury condo market trends, the collective neighborhood of Coral Gables and Coconut Grove conforms only in part this second quarter. Consistent with the drop seen in the overall Sales numbers, this combined neighborhood reports a much-anticipated decline. The 12-month trendline too is negative in response, just like the Miami overall report. Also, contrary to what most people believed, prices have seen an uptick in this submarket, much like the overall market. This is a definite thumbs-up for sellers in the area, giving them good value for their properties despite the disruption caused by the pandemic.

The two metrics moving in contrast to the overall market are Months of Inventory and Days on Market. Coral Gables and Coconut Grove report a year-over-year decline in inventory, retaining their title of the "neighborhood with the lowest inventory in Miami." On the other hand, the Days on Market for the neighborhood went up, moving against a decline seen in the overall report.

Historically, Coconut Grove has been the fastest moving neighborhood in our quarterly studies from previous years. It is also a less densely populated urban area with lots of green space, waterfront living and several marinas, making it quite appealing to buyers from cities such as NYC, Boston or Chicago. Combining that with the lowest levels of inventory in Miami, it is still poised to be one of the first neighborhoods to reach the 9-12-month benchmark of a balanced market.

However, with the two major wildcards influencing the markets this year – the COVID-19 crisis and Presidential elections – there is no precise predicting of when the luxury condo market in Miami will break out of the buyer-friendly climate. Until then, buyers can enjoy all of the benefits (price- and choice-wise) that come with a market much in their favor.



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Questions or comments about the stats? Want more info on Miami condos? Contact Sep at sniakan (at) hbroswell.com or call 305-725-0566.


Cover photo credit: Adrian Diaz-Sieckel

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Brickell vs. Edgewater: Which Miami Neighborhood Is Right for You?

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Brickell vs. Edgewater: Which Miami Neighborhood Is Right for You?

When most people are thinking about moving to Miami, the two most popular neighborhoods mentioned are Edgewater and Brickell. So, how can you know if Brickell or Edgewater, Miami is right for you? Both neighborhoods have grown considerably in recent years, and both are home to high-rise residential towers as well as mid-rise residential towers. While both areas provide plenty of variety in housing options, they also offer differing lifestyles and benefits. _This article was last updated on January 12, 2023\._ ## Lifestyle: Brickell vs Edgewater Edgewater, Miami is primarily a quiet, residential neighborhood nestled on the shores of Biscayne Bay and the 8-acre Margaret Pace Park. It's a neighborhood that is in a super central location in all of Miami, and Edgewater condos are ideal for families and young professionals still looking for luxury residences on Biscayne Bay, many of whom are purchasing their first property or moving away from the real estate east at the beach. Edgewater, Miami, is one of Miami's most well-kept secrets for those who favor a serene, residential lifestyle that still provides access to all of the eclectic offerings that make Miami exciting, such as Miami Beach and Biscayne Bay. ###### Margaret Pace Park in Edgewater. Photo by Ryan Healy A quiet residential neighborhood that is off-the-beaten path and generally overlooked by tourists, Edgewater provides a nature-oriented yet urban lifestyle that's very walkable, and also has easy access to the Downtown Arts District, the Julia Tuttle Causeway to the east, the Wynwood Arts District, the Design District, Brickell, and South Beach. Edgewater, Miami, has many existing bayfront condos and luxury residences, yet is also still growing, with more luxury condos, restaurants, grocery stores and such on the way. Brickell, in comparison, is Miami's Financial District and home to many international corporate headquarters. It has a high population density and is roughly bound to a busy area that has been playfully nicknamed the “Manhattan of the South,” and more recently, “The Wall Street of the South.” As Brickell has experienced rapid urbanization over the past few decades, Brickell is now more dense than Brooklyn, and could be compared to lower Manhattan. ###### City Centre in Brickell. Photo by Jill Bazeley Ideal for ride-or-die urban types, executives, workaholics, and those who wish to live and work in the same distinct neighborhood, Brickell is also home to families and international business executives who come to Miami for extended periods. Brickell is known for its bevy of world-class restaurants, a vibrant but mature nightlife, as well as its plethora of versatile shopping options. ## Business: Brickell vs Edgewater Edgewater, Miami is essentially a laid-back, homey residential district where neighbors will recognize one another while walking their dogs, pushing strollers or bicycling. There are only a handful of shared work spaces, offices, and commercial buildings. If you prefer to leave the work at the office, and decompress when you get home, Edgewater neighborhood offers that. ###### Photo by Marcus Lenk on Unsplash Brickell, on the other hand, is a buzzing international banking hub that represents the largest of its kind in the US, and the second-largest financial center south of New York. Brickell is Miami's central business district. Flanked by the Miami River and Biscayne Bay, Brickell offers a unique Miami-style, urban experience that includes plenty of open-air restaurant options, high-rises with spectacular water views, and an active but casual corporate environment. If you like to get deals done over dinner and then walk home, then Brickell is good for you. ## Walkability and Transportation: Brickell vs Edgewater While Edgewater is tucked away, its super central location makes it close enough to walk or bicycle to many of Miami's most desirable locations, such as the Perez Art Museum (PAMM) and the Frost Science Museum, the Adrienne Arsht Center for the Performing Arts, Museum Park, the Wynwood Arts District, the Design District, and Downtown, as well as the Miami-Dade College Wolfson Campus. Edgewater has its own Metromover stop, and its close proximity to Downtown and midtown Miami means that you can take advantage of the Metrorail and Brightline trains that can take you just about anywhere in South Florida, eventually to Orlando, from the convenient MiamiCentral station as a part of the Florida East Coast Railway, as well as the up-and-coming commuter rail service that will take you to locations both within and beyond the greater metropolitan Miami area. To the north, Edgewater has the Julia Tuttle Causeway providing quick access to the beach. ###### Metromover - Miami. Photo courtesy of Phillip Pessar In Brickell, the free Metromover can take you to Wynwood, Coconut Grove, and Downtown Miami, where you can connect to the Brightline trains leading to the tri-county area, north to Fort Lauderdale, and soon, north to Orlando. There is also a free Brickell trolley and a very inexpensive airport shuttle that costs $2.25 and runs about every 20 minutes. ### **Looking to live car-free?** Don’t miss our article on other Miami neighborhoods where you can live without a car. ## Parks and Greenspace: Brickell vs Edgewater Access to greenspace is Edgewater's claim to fame and part of what makes it so desirable. In this category, we think it is a winner over Brickell. The entire distinct neighborhood is anchored by the expansive and multifaceted Margaret Pace Park, with its winding pathways, mangrove forests, a dog park, sports activities, including basketball courts, volleyball and tennis courts, and waterfront access for water sports such as kayaking or waterboarding. The park also provides an array of outdoor options for nature-themed recreation ideal for young families with children, fitness enthusiasts, work-from-home types, as well as parks where dogs and their human companions can get plenty of exercise. ###### Brickell Key Park The dense commercial neighborhood of Brickell also has some parks, as the area was planned to provide sun and fun options at locations such as Brickell Park, the waterfront walk around Brickell Key Park, Alice C. Wainwright Park, and Miami Circle Park. You can enjoy shady walking trails and areas for dogs to run and play, as well as some breezy water views that make you forget momentarily that you're in the middle of one of the country's busiest urban hubs. ## Arts and Culture: Brickell vs Edgewater ###### Phillip and Patricia Frost Museum of Science Edgewater's proximity to the Downtown Arts District makes it incomparable as far as access to the arts, in comparison to busy Brickell. From most all Edgewater properties, you can easily walk or bicycle to some of the city's most renowned cultural venues, such as the Adrienne Arsht Center, Ziff Opera House, Perez and Frost Museums, American Airlines Arena, and many smaller art galleries, venues, performing arts centers, and artists' studios. Edgewater is also within a short bike or Uber ride to the infamous street art that has made Wynwood famous, along with its galleries and the yearly art fairs that draw millions of international tourists during Miami Art Week. It's also a stone's throw from the Design District, and the area's most prestigious art exhibition spaces and collections, such as the Moore Building, The de la Cruz Collection, and the Institute of Contemporary Art (ICA). While Brickell is better known for its restaurants, chic roof-top bars, and entertainment venues than for cultural venues, its easy transportation options provide quick and access to the Downtown Arts District and many of the same attractions that are close to Edgewater. ## Eating and Shopping: Brickell vs Edgewater ###### La Mar - Gaston Acurio at the Mandarin Oriental Hotel As far as eating and shopping options, it's impossible for residential Edgewater's bayfront community to compete with Brickell's plethora of casual eateries and fine-dining options, as well as the wide variety of shopping opportunities walking distance in Brickell, including those at Mary Brickell Village, Brickell City Centre, and all along Brickell Avenue. Some of these include The Capital Grille, an upscale steak house perfect for impressing corporate clients, and La Mar by Gaston Acurio at the Mandarin Oriental Hotel, where Peruvian fusion cuisine is served in a chic waterfront setting. Among one of the area's newest eateries is EST.33 Thai Craft Brewery and Kitchen, bringing a blend of Asian flavors blended with traditional American barbecue, with the bonus of craft beer. An excellent affordable waterfront lunch can be had at Crazy About You, where you can enjoy Mediterranean flavors in an understated bistro setting on the bay. There are also two food halls at Brickell City Centre, where you'll find a wide assortment of eateries as well as specialty shops serving up all types of food from cultures all over the world, particularly authentic Italian. ###### Edgewater’s Amara at Paraiso By comparison, Edgewater's bayfront community provides walkable access to some of Miami's most popular restaurants. For fine dining, Edgewater's Amara at Gran Paraiso is a waterfront favorite. And Paolo Fontanot's Italian bakery and cafe is also a can't miss, being the only U.S. location outside of Italy. Tons more spots are in our Local's Guide to Restaurants in Edgewater. Edgewater is also very close to Downtown Miami and Wynwood restaurants, including Kush, known for its infamous burgers and budget lunch menu. For more adventurous fare, Dunkunoo serves up Jamaican dishes along with exotic Caribbean drinks, and an assortment of experimental small plates are available on the eclectic tasting menu at Alter. Edgewater also provides easy access to Wynwood's unique boutiques as well as the specialty shops in the nearby Design District, and Downtown Miami's versatile shopping options. ## Architecture and Housing Options: Brickell vs Edgewater ###### Edgewater neighborhood Edgewater was in the past few decades a neglected enclave nestled between Biscayne Boulevard and Biscayne Bay, populated by working-class families living in smallish mid-20th-century bungalows and a few low-rise existing bayfront condos. All of that has changed in recent years as luxury condos and modern brand new developments such as Paramount Bay, Elysee, Missoni Baia, and other luxury condo high rises have replaced many of the older properties with chic new waterfront condos adorned with balconies boasting exquisite bay views, direct access to the bay, and modern family-friendly resort style amenities. For those drawn to the nostalgia of the neighborhood, a few of the area's old bungalows have been remodeled and upgraded and still dot the local landscape offering waterfront living. ###### Brickell Key neighborhood Brickell is a larger area that is divided into three sections: Old Brickell, The Financial District, and Brickell Key. The area south of SW 15th Road is known as Old Brickell, and along its grand, tree-lined street, consists of mainly of older low and mid rise condo buildings on the water, as well as small firms, international banks, and other professional service offices, along with a few ritzy mansions dating back to the Mary Brickell era. The area north of SW 15th Road, and particularly around Brickell Avenue, is known as the Financial District and here you'll see business and residential high rise skyscrapers, both business and residential. While many of the area's older high rise condos provide waterfront access to Biscayne Bay, most brand new constructions are being built inland due to limited availability of real estate in this increasingly dense area. Brickell Key is a more isolated, private enclave with high-end, waterfront residential condos. ### View available condo and rental options in Edgewater or Brickell. ## Cost of Living: Brickell vs Edgewater Edgewater is a family-friendly area, with real estate condo prices averaging around $386 per sq. ft. and average residential units listing at around $502,715\. The median household income for most residents in Edgewater near Miami Beach is $77,000. Brickell has a wider array of real estate options and attracts a variety of international investors, with options ranging from mid-rise residential towers to older high rise exclusive penthouses to affordable condos. The average price in Brickell is roughly bound to about $399 per square foot or $530,966 for an average residential unit; however, listings may run as high as $29,110,500 or about $2,039 per square foot. ## Which Neighborhood is Better? Brickell or Edgewater? If you're in the market for a quiet, family-friendly environment with less noise and traffic, access to nature, Biscayne Bay waterfront living, mid rise to high rise residential towers, and very little tourism, you'll love Edgewater, which offers respite after a quick commute. If you prefer to immerse yourself in the Manhattan of the South, with access to all things big city, you'll feel right at home in Brickell. Check out these below: * Edgewater vs South Beach * South Beach vs Miami Beach * Edgewater vs Downtown Miami * The Miami Beaches: South vs Mid-Beach vs North Beach * Brickell vs South Beach * Brickell vs Brickell Key If you'd like to talk more with us about which Miami Dade County, Florida, neighborhood is right for you, give us a call or e mail, and we'll be happy to go through the many real estate available listings in both Edgewater, Brickell, and all that Miami so you can make a well-educated decision as to which Florida spot is ideal for you. --- ###### Cover Photo by Anish Patel

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